Realist Warmonger's Playbook Feb 2025

The Realist Warmonger's Playbook Feb 2025 Edition
Author Bio: tedkostis @ linkedin

Contents
Foreword by the Author2
1 Technology dictates Geopolitics4
Transparent Battlespace5
Military Concept of "First Strike Advantage"8
Reassessing the First Strike Concept: Russia's Consideration of Russian-Speaking Compatriots in Donbass13
Military Concept of the "Tempo of War"17
Military Concept of Fully Autonomous Weapons20
Military Concept of Super (AI-enabled) Swarms24
Space Warfare: A Critical Disruptor in Future Warfare29
Hypersonic Missiles: A Persistent Battlefield Disruptor34
Grey Zone Tactics: A Persistent Strategy for Offensive Realism39
The Evolution of Stealth in Military Strategy: A Perspective on Offensive Realism44
US Energy Wars Against Europe Part II: No More Russian Gas via Ukraine 49
NO IMAGE: Fiber Optic Drones & their immunity to Electronic Warfare Jamming53
Game Theory on the End of Hostilities in Ukraine58
Wars of Necessity and of Choice through the Realist Prism63
Germany in Peril Without Russian Energy: Is the End of the Euro Imminent?73
From Banana Republics to Peer Competitors: Can U.S. Disruption Tactics Succeed Against Great Powers Like China?77
The Rise of Agentic AI on the Modern Battlefield: Transforming Warfare and Ethics81
The Agentic AI Robot General: A Paradigm shift86
The term "Agentic-AI" in military use88

2 Newspeak90
Newspeak: More Relevant Than Ever in Today's World91

3 Definitions of Realism97
Structural Realism: Power & Anarchy in International Relations98